FC St Pauli vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
ROT
2 - 3
STP
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
STP
1 - 0
ULM
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
OSN
0 - 0
STP
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
STP
1 - 3
S04
24%
25%
52%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
STP
2 - 2
SAA
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2000 |
M05
1 - 1
AAA
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
M05
0 - 2
HAN
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
ROT
1 - 0
M05
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2000 |
FCN
4 - 0
M05
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
M05
0 - 3
ULM
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |