FC St Pauli vs KFC Uerdingen 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1978 |
STP
3 - 0
BAY
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
AAA
0 - 0
STP
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
STP
0 - 5
KOL
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
F95
3 - 1
STP
70%
18%
13%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
RTV
4 - 0
STP
61%
21%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
KFC Uerdingen 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1978 |
UBO
2 - 8
KFC
28%
22%
49%
|
69 | 8 | 61 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
KFC
4 - 2
WUP
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
KFC
0 - 0
OSN
61%
20%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
AAA
3 - 3
KFC
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1978 |
SCH
3 - 2
KFC
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |