FC St Pauli vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
FCN
1 - 2
STP
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
STP
2 - 2
HAN
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
AAA
0 - 1
STP
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
M05
1 - 1
STP
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
STP
4 - 1
ROT
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
S04
1 - 4
HER
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2001 |
BYM
0 - 1
HER
73%
17%
9%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2001 |
LEV
1 - 2
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
KAI
0 - 1
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
HER
1 - 1
LEV
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |