FC St Pauli vs Heider SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+98%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
STP
0 - 2
OSN
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
STP
1 - 0
AHA
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
WOL
1 - 0
STP
43%
26%
32%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
STP
3 - 0
TBR
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
BER
3 - 2
STP
29%
24%
48%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
HEI
0 - 1
AHA
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
WOL
3 - 0
HEI
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
HEI
4 - 2
TBR
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
BER
4 - 1
HEI
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
HEI
2 - 1
VFB
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |