DFB Pokal Last 16
Global 4-5
FC St Pauli vs Hamborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
4.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
HAM
1 - 1
STP
24%
22%
54%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1952 |
SAA
1 - 2
STP
47%
22%
31%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Hamborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
HAM
1 - 1
STP
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1952 |
HAM
4 - 1
ISC
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +4 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
HAM
1 - 1
F95
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
HAM
0 - 1
ERK
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
BVB
7 - 0
HAM
91%
6%
3%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |