FC St Pauli vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
OSN
2 - 2
STP
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
FSV
1 - 0
STP
28%
26%
47%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
STP
3 - 2
TUS
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
STP
1 - 0
ING
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
M05
2 - 2
STP
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SGF
6 - 1
ING
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SGF
3 - 0
RWA
60%
21%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
M05
0 - 1
SGF
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SGF
1 - 1
SCF
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
FCN
2 - 1
SGF
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |