FC St Pauli vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
ROS
1 - 2
STP
8%
17%
76%
|
73 | 24 | 49 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1999 |
STP
6 - 2
SVS
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
KFC
1 - 1
STP
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1999 |
STP
5 - 0
F95
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
KÖL
1 - 1
STP
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
SIN
1 - 3
SGF
10%
19%
71%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
CZJ
1 - 2
SGF
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1999 |
ULM
0 - 0
SGF
58%
22%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
SGF
0 - 1
HAN
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1999 |
UNT
4 - 1
SGF
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |