FC St Pauli vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1975 |
STP
4 - 1
ROT
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1975 |
STP
3 - 0
ARB
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
BVB
4 - 1
STP
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
STP
1 - 0
AAA
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
BAR
0 - 6
STP
19%
24%
58%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1975 |
KFC
1 - 0
KÖL
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
KÖL
7 - 0
FCM
79%
15%
7%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
SWE
1 - 0
KÖL
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
KÖL
0 - 2
OWI
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
WAT
0 - 0
KÖL
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |