FC St Pauli vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
FCU
1 - 0
STP
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
STP
1 - 1
FSV
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
EBT
0 - 2
STP
54%
24%
21%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
STP
0 - 0
ERZ
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 1
STP
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
F95
2 - 0
DAR
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
RBL
3 - 1
F95
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
F95
2 - 2
RTV
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 2
F95
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
F95
1 - 3
FCN
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |