FC St Pauli vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
BRE
3 - 2
STP
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
STP
0 - 4
HSV
23%
24%
54%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
KOL
2 - 1
STP
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
STP
1 - 1
KAI
19%
22%
59%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
MUN
4 - 2
STP
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
FCN
1 - 0
LEV
19%
23%
58%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
S04
2 - 1
FCN
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
FCN
1 - 2
BYM
20%
26%
55%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
ROS
1 - 0
FCN
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
FCN
3 - 0
WOL
28%
25%
48%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |