FC St Pauli vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
ISC
2 - 1
STP
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
HOL
1 - 2
STP
48%
24%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
STP
1 - 1
TBR
81%
12%
7%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
LUB
1 - 1
STP
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
STP
3 - 1
OFC
62%
17%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1966 |
FCN
2 - 2
BYM
49%
21%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1966 |
HSV
0 - 2
FCN
54%
22%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
FCN
0 - 0
BVB
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1966 |
MON
8 - 3
FCN
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
FCN
3 - 0
KSC
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |