FC St Pauli vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.6%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8%
2.3%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1975 |
WOL
2 - 3
STP
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1975 |
STP
2 - 1
OSN
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
PRE
0 - 4
STP
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1975 |
STP
3 - 2
KÖL
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
STP
4 - 1
ROT
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1975 |
ERK
2 - 2
DJK
38%
24%
39%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
WAT
1 - 1
ERK
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1975 |
ISC
1 - 1
ERK
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1975 |
ERK
1 - 2
WOL
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
OSN
3 - 0
ERK
84%
11%
5%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |