FC St Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
64.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
13º
17º
15º
38
2º
16º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 86 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 75 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 62 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 56 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 56 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 46 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 38 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 36 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
36.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 66.5% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 14% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 11.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 8% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
EBT
2 - 1
STP
16%
20%
63%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
STU
0 - 1
STP
70%
17%
12%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
STP
0 - 2
BRE
29%
25%
47%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
STP
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
STP
3 - 1
HOL
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 3
M05
51%
24%
25%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
RBL
2 - 1
EIN
56%
22%
22%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
LYO
3 - 2
EIN
33%
23%
44%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 2
AUG
65%
21%
15%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
RBL
3 - 0
EIN
55%
22%
23%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |