FC St Pauli vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
ROT
1 - 0
STP
53%
23%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
STP
1 - 2
HOL
61%
21%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
HAM
1 - 0
STP
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
STP
1 - 2
WUP
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
SGD
1 - 0
STP
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
CHE
2 - 0
WAT
38%
26%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
EBT
1 - 0
CHE
58%
22%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
CHE
2 - 0
KFC
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
VFR
1 - 3
CHE
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CHE
2 - 1
WER
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |