FC St Pauli vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AAA
2 - 1
STP
33%
26%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
STP
2 - 0
EIN
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ING
1 - 0
STP
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 1
STP
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
STP
3 - 1
SGD
70%
19%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
RTV
2 - 1
ROS
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
RTV
1 - 2
BYM
11%
18%
71%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
FSV
0 - 2
RTV
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
RTV
1 - 1
F95
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RTV
6 - 0
ERZ
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |