FC St Pauli vs Bielefeld Amatuere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
PAD
0 - 3
STP
65%
19%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
STP
1 - 0
FCU
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
HAM
1 - 0
STP
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
STP
1 - 3
COT
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
STP
2 - 3
OSN
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bielefeld Amatuere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
BIE
3 - 4
HAM
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
OSN
2 - 2
BIE
71%
19%
11%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
BIE
4 - 1
DIE
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
HOL
4 - 0
BIE
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
BIE
2 - 2
WUP
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |