FC St Pauli vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
AAA
0 - 0
STP
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
STP
0 - 5
KOL
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
F95
3 - 1
STP
70%
18%
13%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
RTV
4 - 0
STP
61%
21%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
STP
1 - 1
STU
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1978 |
BAY
4 - 0
FCN
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1978 |
BUR
0 - 1
BAY
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1978 |
BAY
1 - 1
WAL
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1978 |
BAY
2 - 1
BAY
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
WWO
2 - 1
BAY
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |