FC St Pauli vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
WOL
2 - 2
STP
23%
22%
55%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
OSN
2 - 2
STP
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1977 |
STP
3 - 2
ARB
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
AAA
1 - 1
STP
36%
25%
40%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1977 |
STP
0 - 0
SWE
65%
20%
16%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
LEV
1 - 1
WHE
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1977 |
KÖL
3 - 2
LEV
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
AHA
4 - 1
LEV
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1977 |
LEV
1 - 2
WOL
65%
22%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
ARB
1 - 0
LEV
72%
19%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |