FC St Pauli vs Barmbek-Uhlenhorst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
KÖL
1 - 1
STP
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1974 |
STP
0 - 1
HAN
44%
26%
31%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
ARB
1 - 1
STP
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
STP
1 - 2
WAB
58%
21%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
KFC
2 - 0
STP
38%
24%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
BAR
0 - 0
DJK
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
WAT
4 - 0
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
BAR
3 - 2
ERK
64%
21%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
WOL
2 - 0
BAR
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
BAR
1 - 3
OSN
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |