FC St Pauli vs Arminia Hannover analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
LEV
3 - 1
STP
37%
22%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
WHE
2 - 0
STP
27%
23%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1976 |
STP
2 - 1
KÖL
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
LEV
1 - 1
STP
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1976 |
STP
3 - 1
WOL
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Hannover
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
HAN
1 - 0
AHA
78%
15%
8%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
AHA
3 - 1
ISC
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1976 |
WHE
1 - 5
AHA
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
AHA
3 - 1
WUP
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1976 |
KÖL
4 - 0
AHA
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |