FC St Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
PRE
1 - 0
STP
38%
26%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
KSC
0 - 0
STP
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
STP
1 - 0
MUN
51%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
STP
1 - 0
BJK
36%
25%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
KAI
1 - 2
STP
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ARB
2 - 1
EBT
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 1
FCU
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SGF
2 - 0
ARB
60%
22%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
WAC
1 - 0
ARB
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 0
OSN
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |