FC St Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2000 |
MSV
4 - 1
STP
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
STP
4 - 0
SVS
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
REU
2 - 0
STP
30%
25%
44%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
BAY
1 - 2
STP
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
STP
5 - 0
WAL
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2000 |
ARB
1 - 1
AAA
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2000 |
M05
2 - 4
ARB
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
ARB
2 - 0
ROT
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
TEN
1 - 3
ARB
29%
24%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2000 |
ULM
0 - 1
ARB
43%
23%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |