FC St Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
BUR
1 - 1
STP
47%
26%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
STP
1 - 0
BWB
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
OFC
0 - 0
STP
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
STP
1 - 0
SAA
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1985 |
SVS
3 - 0
STP
62%
21%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
SCF
2 - 4
ARB
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
ARB
1 - 0
VIK
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1985 |
OSN
0 - 0
ARB
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1985 |
ARB
3 - 1
MSV
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 1985 |
DAR
4 - 1
ARB
53%
24%
22%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |