FC St Pauli vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
DAR
2 - 1
STP
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
STP
3 - 2
WEH
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
STP
2 - 3
CHA
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
STP
4 - 1
MAG
45%
26%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
STP
2 - 0
SGF
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
FCU
2 - 0
KOL
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 2
FCU
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ERZ
3 - 0
FCU
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
FCU
2 - 0
RTV
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MAG
1 - 1
FCU
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |