FC St Pauli vs 1. FC Mülheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
SWE
1 - 1
STP
26%
23%
51%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
STP
2 - 1
OWI
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
ISC
5 - 0
STP
30%
24%
47%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
DJK
2 - 2
STP
27%
22%
51%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1974 |
STP
1 - 3
WAT
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Mülheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
FCM
1 - 0
DJK
42%
25%
34%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1974 |
WAT
3 - 2
FCM
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
FCM
3 - 1
ERK
66%
18%
15%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
WOL
1 - 0
FCM
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1974 |
FCM
1 - 0
OSN
27%
23%
50%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +2 |