FC St Pauli vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VFR
0 - 1
STP
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
STP
3 - 0
COT
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
KAI
4 - 1
STP
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
STP
0 - 0
SVS
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SGF
2 - 4
STP
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
KOL
0 - 1
ING
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
RTV
1 - 0
KOL
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
KOL
4 - 0
FCU
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 1
KOL
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
KOL
0 - 0
MUN
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |