FC St Pauli vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
F95
3 - 1
STP
70%
18%
13%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
RTV
4 - 0
STP
61%
21%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
STP
1 - 1
STU
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
STP
2 - 2
MSV
42%
24%
34%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1978 |
KAI
2 - 1
STP
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
KOL
2 - 1
STU
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
KOL
2 - 0
F95
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
KAI
0 - 2
KOL
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
KOL
0 - 1
EIN
68%
17%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
MUN
1 - 3
KOL
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |