St. Pauli U19 vs Werder Bremen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
11º
8º
31
9º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PAU
0 - 1
UBE
39%
23%
37%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MEP
1 - 3
PAU
27%
20%
53%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PAU
2 - 2
EIN
57%
21%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DDR
1 - 0
PAU
34%
22%
45%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PAU
0 - 1
HER
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WBR
4 - 2
MEP
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UBE
2 - 0
WBR
57%
19%
24%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
WBR
2 - 2
HER
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 3
WBR
40%
21%
39%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
WBR
0 - 1
HAN
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |