St. Pauli U19 vs Holstein Kiel U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
6º
5º
4
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 35 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 30 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 24 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 20 |
4º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 18 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 14 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 10 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 9 |
8º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAK
2 - 2
PAU
62%
18%
21%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 1
UBE
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
PAU
47%
21%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 2
PAU
55%
20%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PAU
0 - 5
WOL
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 1
HAN
21%
19%
60%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
9 - 0
HOL
47%
22%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 1
HOL
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 3
WOL
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 2
VIK
45%
21%
34%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |