St. Pauli Sub 19 vs Carl Zeiss Jena Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
11º
8º
20
7º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
WBR
2 - 1
PAU
50%
20%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UBE
3 - 1
PAU
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PAU
1 - 0
MEP
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
EIN
1 - 2
PAU
35%
21%
44%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PAU
1 - 2
DDR
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Carl Zeiss Jena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CZJ
1 - 1
MEP
53%
20%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
EIN
3 - 1
CZJ
58%
20%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CZJ
1 - 1
HER
9%
14%
77%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CZJ
2 - 2
LEI
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DDR
2 - 1
CZJ
75%
15%
9%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |