St. Pauli U19 vs Berliner AK 07 U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
7º
6º
12
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
UBE
0 - 2
PAU
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PAU
2 - 3
HAN
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 1
PAU
26%
20%
54%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 0
PAU
63%
18%
19%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 1
PAU
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Berliner AK 07 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BAK
1 - 4
HAM
39%
21%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 0
BAK
41%
21%
39%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BAK
2 - 5
UBE
46%
21%
33%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCM
2 - 3
BAK
29%
21%
50%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HOL
3 - 2
BAK
22%
19%
58%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | -1 |