St. Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1997 |
SRF
2 - 2
STP
52%
24%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
HER
0 - 0
STP
68%
19%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
STP
1 - 0
WSV
35%
27%
38%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 1997 |
STP
1 - 0
HAM
18%
23%
60%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
EIN
2 - 1
STP
71%
18%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1997 |
WER
2 - 1
WSV
68%
21%
11%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1997 |
EIN
0 - 2
WER
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
WER
3 - 1
EBT
37%
28%
36%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 22 Apr. 1997 |
WER
3 - 0
SRF
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
LUN
0 - 2
WER
27%
26%
48%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |