St. Pauli II vs Victoria Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
WED
1 - 1
STP
13%
19%
68%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
STP
3 - 0
RUG
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 2
STP
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
STP
4 - 0
BER
72%
16%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
GER
1 - 2
STP
18%
21%
62%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Victoria Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
ALT
2 - 0
VHG
60%
20%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
VHG
3 - 1
WTS
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 2
VHG
22%
23%
54%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
VHG
3 - 1
BER
49%
23%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
VHG
3 - 2
BRA
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |