St. Pauli II vs VfR Neumunster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+134%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HAN
2 - 0
STP
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
STP
3 - 1
HAM
41%
23%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
STP
1 - 1
BSV
67%
18%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
EIB
2 - 0
STP
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
STP
0 - 1
CLO
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
VfR Neumunster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VFR
0 - 0
BSV
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
EIB
1 - 2
VFR
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
VFR
0 - 0
CLO
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
WER
4 - 2
VFR
84%
12%
5%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
VFR
1 - 1
LSK
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |