St. Pauli II vs VfL Herzlake analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
WSV
2 - 2
STP
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
STP
0 - 2
EIN
38%
26%
36%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -3 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
EBT
6 - 0
STP
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
STP
2 - 0
LUN
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
SVL
0 - 2
STP
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
VfL Herzlake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
ALT
1 - 0
HER
53%
24%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
HER
3 - 0
WSV
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
ISC
2 - 0
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
HER
1 - 1
EIN
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
HAM
2 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |