St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
LUB
4 - 2
STP
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
STP
0 - 2
GER
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
LSK
2 - 0
STP
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
VFB
2 - 0
STP
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
STP
0 - 1
HAV
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
VFB
2 - 3
LUB
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
VFB
1 - 3
HAM
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
VFB
2 - 0
STP
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
EUT
0 - 1
VFB
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
EIB
1 - 0
VFB
40%
24%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |