St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
LUB
2 - 1
STP
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
WER
2 - 1
STP
69%
18%
14%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
STP
1 - 3
HOL
29%
26%
45%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
HAM
3 - 2
STP
44%
24%
31%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
STP
0 - 0
EIN
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
WSV
3 - 0
VFB
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
VFB
2 - 5
LUB
22%
25%
54%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
CLO
5 - 0
VFB
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
VFB
0 - 5
WER
19%
21%
60%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
HOL
3 - 1
VFB
61%
21%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |