St. Pauli II vs SV Lurup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
STP
2 - 3
EIN
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
VHG
2 - 1
STP
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
STP
0 - 0
NIE
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BER
1 - 3
STP
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
STP
2 - 0
VOW
69%
18%
12%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SV Lurup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
COH
0 - 1
SVL
51%
25%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
VHG
3 - 1
SVL
61%
21%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 0
SVL
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
NIE
3 - 1
SVL
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SVL
1 - 0
HAM
64%
21%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |