St. Pauli II vs Rugenbergen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 2
STP
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
STP
4 - 0
BER
72%
16%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
GER
1 - 2
STP
18%
21%
62%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
WTS
0 - 4
STP
15%
20%
66%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
STP
5 - 2
OST
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RUG
3 - 1
WTS
58%
22%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 3
RUG
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
VHG
2 - 2
RUG
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
RUG
2 - 0
WED
52%
23%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ALT
3 - 1
RUG
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |