St. Pauli II vs Lüneburger SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
SVL
0 - 2
STP
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
STP
1 - 0
ADF
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
HAN
5 - 1
STP
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 62 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
STP
0 - 3
OSN
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -3 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
ALT
2 - 0
STP
73%
17%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lüneburger SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
LUN
0 - 1
WSV
43%
26%
31%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
EIN
3 - 1
LUN
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
LUN
0 - 2
EBT
29%
26%
45%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
HER
2 - 0
LUN
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
SVL
2 - 2
LUN
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |