St. Pauli II vs Jeddeloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
18º
11º
25
5º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 58 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 56 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 34 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 33 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 31 |
18º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
STP
1 - 1
BRE
38%
24%
39%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
STP
1 - 3
LUB
33%
24%
43%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
DRO
1 - 0
STP
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
STP
2 - 2
WEI
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HOL
0 - 4
STP
61%
21%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Jeddeloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TOD
2 - 0
JED
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
JED
3 - 0
WER
12%
17%
70%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
VFB
0 - 1
JED
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
JED
1 - 1
BWL
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BSV
3 - 1
JED
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |