St. Pauli II vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
HAM
3 - 2
STP
44%
24%
31%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
STP
0 - 0
EIN
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
OSC
2 - 0
STP
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
STP
4 - 3
MEP
23%
25%
53%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +4 |
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
OSN
3 - 1
STP
68%
18%
13%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
HOL
5 - 2
ENO
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2000 |
WSV
3 - 1
HOL
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
HOL
3 - 1
VFB
61%
21%
19%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
LUB
3 - 1
HOL
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
WER
3 - 1
HOL
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |