St. Pauli II vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
CLO
1 - 2
STP
47%
26%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
STP
3 - 4
EIN
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
STP
2 - 2
ADF
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
HAM
0 - 1
STP
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
STP
0 - 0
EBT
35%
26%
38%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
HOL
2 - 3
HAM
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
EBT
0 - 2
HOL
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
HOL
1 - 0
WSV
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
OSN
7 - 1
HOL
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
HOL
1 - 1
LUN
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |