St. Pauli II vs Holstein Kiel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
DRO
0 - 4
STP
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
STP
3 - 1
FCP
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
HEI
1 - 0
STP
18%
21%
62%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
STP
1 - 3
OTT
52%
23%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
EIN
2 - 2
STP
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
HOL
3 - 1
HAM
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
DRO
0 - 3
HOL
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 0
LUB
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 3
HOL
56%
20%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 3
WEI
19%
23%
59%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |