St. Pauli II vs Holstein Kiel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
HAN
1 - 1
STP
69%
18%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
STP
2 - 1
ALT
45%
26%
29%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
VHG
2 - 1
STP
41%
24%
36%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
STP
2 - 0
LUB
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
COH
2 - 5
STP
48%
26%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
HOL
1 - 2
ALT
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2004 |
HOL
4 - 2
LUB
79%
14%
8%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
VHG
0 - 1
HOL
30%
25%
46%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
COH
0 - 2
HOL
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
HOL
4 - 0
CLO
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +3 |