St. Pauli II vs Henstedt-Ulzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
OSS
0 - 3
STP
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
STP
0 - 0
WOL
13%
23%
65%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
AHA
1 - 0
STP
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
STP
1 - 1
RAE
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
EIB
0 - 1
STP
56%
21%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Henstedt-Ulzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
HUL
0 - 0
VFR
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
HUL
2 - 1
OSS
41%
25%
35%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
WOL
3 - 1
HUL
84%
11%
4%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
HUL
0 - 0
AHA
45%
24%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
HAM
2 - 4
HUL
58%
22%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |