St. Pauli II vs Hamburger SV II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
18º
11º
33
5º
18º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 58 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 56 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 34 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 33 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 31 |
18º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
STP
2 - 1
MEP
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TOD
2 - 4
STP
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STP
1 - 5
WER
17%
19%
64%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VFB
4 - 0
STP
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
STP
2 - 1
BWL
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 0
TOD
51%
22%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
WER
5 - 0
HAM
66%
19%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
5 - 0
VFB
42%
24%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BWL
3 - 2
HAM
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
JED
2 - 2
HAM
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |