St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
18º
11º
19
2º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 58 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 56 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 34 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 33 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 31 |
18º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HAV
3 - 1
STP
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
JED
1 - 0
STP
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DAS
1 - 1
STP
53%
21%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 4
STP
23%
21%
57%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
STP
0 - 2
HAN
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Eintracht Norderstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 0
TOD
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WER
1 - 1
EIN
70%
17%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 0
VFB
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 1
GUT
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
EIN
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |