St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
VHG
2 - 1
STP
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
STP
0 - 0
NIE
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BER
1 - 3
STP
50%
25%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
STP
2 - 0
VOW
69%
18%
12%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
HAL
1 - 0
STP
28%
25%
48%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Eintracht Norderstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
EIN
1 - 3
VHG
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
EIN
5 - 1
HAM
73%
17%
11%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
VOW
1 - 1
EIN
24%
24%
53%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
EIN
2 - 4
BAR
73%
17%
11%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CON
4 - 4
EIN
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |