St. Pauli II vs Concordia Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1996 |
HAM
1 - 1
STP
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
STP
1 - 2
SVL
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
CEL
5 - 2
STP
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
STP
2 - 2
BSV
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
STP
2 - 1
HAM
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Concordia Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1996 |
COH
0 - 2
HAM
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1996 |
COH
2 - 1
WSV
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
EBT
5 - 0
COH
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1996 |
CLO
2 - 1
COH
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1996 |
COH
3 - 0
LUN
37%
27%
36%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |